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Renewable sources hit a new record, but the overall show spreads in the wrong direction



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Renewable energy generates another record month on the Australian national electricity market, with October marking the fifth consecutive monthly record for the total generation and the share of the non-generation.

In its most recent National Energy Release audit, the Australian Institute said that related energy with renewable energy sources provided 16.5 percent of the total NO electricity in the year to October, and wind and solar energy amounted to 8.2 percent and hydro 8, 3 percent – an increase of 20 percent on penetration since the beginning of the year.

A factor in the enormous installed capacity of the solar roof at NEM, the share increasing to 19.9 percent. But while this helps keep the power sector on the show, they are being raised elsewhere, as they show new government data (see below).

The latest records have been sparked only by the big sun, the report says, in addition to eight major PV farms in the last two months, of which four in October.

The projects in October included 20 MW White Rock solar farms in New South Wales; Queensland Sanctuary (180MW), Bungala Two in South Australia (140MW), and Karadoc South in Victoria (112MW).

You can see the "rise in solar capacity" in Figures 6 and 7 below.

The new solar supplement had the total installed capacity of solar farms that supplied NEM at almost 2.3 GW by the end of October, an increase of 270 MW just a year ago, the report said.

Although there were no new wind power plants during September and October, the grid added the grid, which will change and the number is currently underway.

At the state level, Tasmania's renewable share of the generation was 93.4 percent a month; in South Australia, 50.2 percent; in Victoria 19.5 percent; in New South Wales 12.5 percent; and in Queensland 7 percent.

"Renewable resource production records are still interrupted, and the level of renewable energy in the network continues to grow. It is clear that we can only expect more arrivals," said Dr Hugh Saddler, energy expert and author of the report.

"If the government really wants more reliable energy and lower electricity prices, it should not look down.

"The future is in renewable energy sources." Australia has witnessed eight major solar plants over the last two months, increasing solar capacity by more than 50% to the non-grid. Unless taxpayers are undergoing a difficult bill, we are unlikely to see new coal-fired power plants , "Saddler said.

But coal production was not the only victim of cheap and rich renewable energy sources. The gas space is also hit, facing a unique drop in the entire NEM that Saddler describes as "quite striking".

This decline in all five non-ST states is illustrated in the table below, and according to Saddler, they are mainly directed at high gas costs and competition from rapid wind and solar production.

In terms of emissions, however, the decline of gas had a negative impact without changing emissions in the power sector despite the increase in renewable energy sources.

Figure 4 shows that the lack of progress in reducing emissions caused by continued decline in gas production, as a result of increased production of black coal, is reported in the report.

But that's what happens when you do not have a price on carbon, or any other coal burning police, says Saddler.

"As a final observation, it should be noted that although the wholesale price of gas is still high, the production of the combined gas cycle is uncompetitive with respect to most coal generators.

"The financial limit for emissions from electricity production would lead to increased competition between gas and much larger polluting coal.

"In the absence of any financial penalties for greenhouse gas emissions, renewable production will probably continue to replace gas production rather than coal, particularly in Queensland.

"It follows that emission reductions will be smaller than would have happened if renewable sources would shift coal."

That is true, and this is an important message to the federal government, the same day as it published its own National Inventory of Greenhouse Gases for the fourth quarter of June 2018.

The results of this report indicate that in the year to June 2018, Australia's total emissions increased by 0.6 percent (including land use, land use change and forestry).

Source: Australian Conservation Foundation

Fugitive emissions from production, processing, transportation, storage, transmission and distribution of fossil fuels such as coal, crude oil and natural gas increased by 5.2 percent throughout the year to June 2018 and were boosted by the increase in natural gas production by 14, 2 percent and 0.2 percent increase in coal production.

In the transport sector, emissions increased by 2.6 percent compared to the year to June 2018 – a growth that was reflected in an annual growth of 7.6 percent in diesel consumption for the year to June 2018. In addition,

This data, coupled with the current level of greenhouse gas emission reductions – dropped by 2.6 percent in the first half of the year – poses a worrying trend in Australia's climate contribution.

"As our environment minister conducts UN climate negotiations in Poland, there is no sign that Australia will be able to meet our international obligations under the Paris Accords, including an inadequate target of 2030 to reduce climate change by 26 to 28 percent compared to 2005 levels, "Australian conservative economist Matt Rose commented on Friday.

"Unfortunately, the Morrison government has no policy to address this pollutant pollution," Rose added.

"In the meantime, it supports Adan's proposed coal mine, which will further contribute to the global warming problem and lead to more thermal waves, more bleaching of the Great Coral reef and contribute more to wells than Queensland."


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