American-Chinese Trade War and AMD
2019 is a transition year for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as it launches its new generation of 7 nm (nanometers). However, the intensification of the US-Chinese trade war could slow the growth that AMD expects from its 7-nm production line in 2019.
Trade war has slowed down demand since October 2018, which led to AMD and Intel (INTC) revenue falling in the first quarter. However, their PC business continued to grow during the quarter, boosted by the company's demand and the CPU shortage in Intella. The lack of Intel CPU (central processor) supply is likely to end in June.
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Both AMD and Intel expect PC demand to increase in the second half as seasonal demand rises, and the US-Chinese trade war potentially eases. Trade talks instead increased tariff rates by up to 25%. It is unlikely that new developments in the trade war would distract AMD from further progress with Ryzen's 2019 plan.
AMD's plan for Ryzen in 2019
AMD expects the market share of PC CPUs to increase in the coming quarters of 2019, using its product plan. AMD Executive Director Lisa Su provided the latest information on upcoming products in the first quarter.
In laptops, Lisa Su said several OEMs (original equipment manufacturers) such as Acer, Asus, and Lenovo adopt Ryzen's mobile processors. It is expected that the number of Ryzen notebook computers will increase by more than 50% compared to the same period last year, with most of these models coming in the second quarter before the return to school. On the desktop, AMD is launching its third generation of Ryzen desktop processors built at TSMC's 7-nm (nanometer) mid-year.
Third-generation CPUs Ryzena will give AMD an advantage over Intel in terms of the manufacturing node, as 10-nm CPUs of laptops will not arrive before the end of the year. AMD also has a security advantage over Intel. Intel CPUs are vulnerable to other hardware shortages, while AMD's CPUs are not exposed to this disadvantage.
It remains to be seen to what extent the manufacturing node and security advantages will help AMD to gain market share from Intel in the PC CPU space.
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