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M and S can make the worst elections in the EU ever in Gothenburg post



With the remaining just over a week to the EU election, three out of ten voters are still not sure how to vote. Much depends on the issues in the invitation last week, said Toivo Sjörén, head of Sifu's opinion.

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– This is still happening and the situation is very open, he says.

Here's a lot about how the parties have succeeded in motivating their sympathizers to vote. Voters of Swedish Democrats and Moderators have the slightest vote to vote, which is likely to exacerbate the number as the polls show that their sympathizers are choosing a couch.

M since last week supports two percentage points. The party now reaches 13.5 percent, which is in line with the election result in 2014, which was then a disappointment for the party.

Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson, a professor of political science, with a particular emphasis on election research, says voters usually feel the scent of what the parties have in the queue.

– It seems M is quite fragmented among the voters. Parthians that are fragmented inside are hard to draw their message, no matter how good a message is, he says.

M largely loses KD voters, which is now 11.2 percent, which is twice as big as the 2014 election. The party is now the best in Stockholm, where one reaches 17.5 percent, which is more than M here.

"Trend is awesome"

In the GP / Sifo barometer, S gains 21.9 percent. There are no significant changes from last week's research, but since the end of February, the party lost more than five percentage points.

If the number goes on, it means that both S and M are running their worst elections in the EU ever, says Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson.

– A new siphon, a week before the EU election, is becoming a nightmare for the big parties that run the government in Sweden. Now, big parties have never made big elections in the EU, but the trend is terrible, he says.

Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson is a professor of political science at the University of Gothenburg with a special emphasis on electoral research .. Image: Photographer Johan Wingborg

One party that goes strong is SD. The party increases by three percentage points in one week and now reaches 19.9 percent, which is doubling the election results in 2014 and making them the second largest party on the heels.

– The numbers are unstable for SD because many sympathizers are hesitant to vote. On the other hand, it is not about taking voters from other parties, but motivating voters to go to the polls, says Toivo Sjörén.

Toivo Sjörén, head of the Sifu chief, notes that much can happen until election day .. Image: Jonas Dagson / TT

L is still moving around the 4 percent hurdle and now reaches 4.1 percent, which has halved election results in 2014.

"There is a risk of five long years without representation at the highest level in the L multi-democracy, so much to the point. It will be extremely difficult for a party that has long been the strongest positive party in Sweden, says Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson.

Since the L-sympathizers have a high readiness to vote, the numbers may be higher than the surveys show, according to Toivo Sjörén from Sifa.

C reaches 7.6 percent, according to recent measurements and slightly above the election results for 2014, while the MP recovers from last week and now reaches 9.6 percent. This is a total of 6 percentage points more than in the 2014 elections. At the same time, the party is still much better than in parliamentary elections.

V moves forward to 9.5 percent in this survey, which is three percentage points better than the results at the last EU elections. Party sympathizers usually have a strong will to vote, why a party, as well as L, can get a greater number on election day, according to Toivo Sjörén.

Fi reaches only 1.2 percent and will most likely lose their only mandate in parliament.

SD, M, V and MP and have significant changes compared to last week of measurement.

Fact: GP / Sifo measurement is done

Ask:

Which party will you vote for at this year's European Parliament elections?

The barometer of the selection is based on 2867 interviews, made between May 10 and 15, by random selection.

50 percent are telephone interviews and 50 percent are interviews.

29.7 percent of respondents are hesitant or have not yet decided what to vote for.

Want to know more about how GP works with quality journalism? Read our ethical rules here.


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