The hottest sports column is the one that says: In a highly charged and controversial situation involving the largest contract in the history of American professional sports, all involved act politely and wisely. Set.
In the case of Bryce Harper and the Washington citizens, we are stuck with such sensual, elegant behavior on both sides. Both sides have benefits.
According to The Post's Chelsea Janes, Nats has made a significant long-term offer for Harper on September 26th. He did not accept it but Nats discussed the terms for a new deal with Harper and his Scott Boras in September. Therefore, the foundation is set and will be well maintained.
Also, of great importance to both, all public relations fences and private feelings remain in good order. Boras, his clients (like Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg) and the Lerner family are always interwoven. The next Megadeal should be considered: Anthony Rendon, who will be a free agent after 2019. Who is Nats the first significant offseason signing for $ 7 million plus the option? Reliever Trevor Rosenthal, client Boras. These people can not afford a nasty fight.
Take me and hope that during this process, Nats and Harper stay in good terms. The most probable case, just because there are so many scenarios in the game, is that there is a deal or a series of jobs – Nats signs a large free agent, or Harper gets a blow-away offer – catalysing Bryce's departure to no one's wrong. If it is, that is life. But do not to make Harper's leave.
Because there are some happy scenarios. If his best deals from Cardinal, Giant and Phillip, as some now suspect, and Dodgers, Cubs or Yankees are not the top bidders, then Nats wants to be in that anxiety. Is the charming, glittering Bryce really wanting to spend his life playing in front of the fans of the old school? Or with the overall reconstructions of the Giant? Phils have cash, but after Harper really enjoyed seven years at D.C., Philadelphia will win this showdown of beauty?
The size of Harper's jackpot is still a secret. While sources told Janes that Nata's bid was "aggressive," and one source called it "historical", it was less than the $ 400 million he had led to Harper for years. If you want to hit $ 300 million for 10 years, go ahead, but be aware that both Nats and Boras want as many votes as possible in circulation. This helps Boran increase the cost of the client; Nats looks fair, no matter what has happened, and Rendon's time has come, everyone is happy.
The most prominent words came from Mike Rice at a meeting of general managers this week. "I'm comfortable with the alternative [to Harper re-signing], Rizzo said, referring to Nats' ability to find the cargo, but potentially very good field of Juan Sota, Victor Robles, Adam Eaton, and Michael A. Taylor without Harper. "But I'm uncomfortable with the statement that we're a better team without him."
It's true. But Nats has a more desperate need for Harper. They have to add pitch pitch if they play in October, and Scherzer is still great and signed in 2021. Nats also needs a quality reliever and, if they can afford, upgrade to catchers and maybe another base.
That's why Rizzo said, "We need an expiration date," waiting for Harper. Nats will negotiate on "parallel tracks" with free agents such as top honors, Patrick Corbin, or Dallas Keuchel.
This auction class is so ridiculously deep in some needy positions, especially relieves of all kinds, solid startup and other bases, that Nats' free agent of the cash fund may reveal the first hijacking, the first getting the foundation. For example, finalist 2018 actors in the second base, D.J. LeMahieu, just 30, who won the 2016 hit title (at 348), has not even been included among the top 25 agents.
Undoubtedly, Nats' great offer of contracts and talks in September improve his chances of retaining Harper. Bryce and Boras now have a stake to land, setting the minimum value of Harper. Does this gift to Harper – since any offer that is offered on September 26 probably will not succeed – come with an unanswered quid pro quo? Does Nats now get a final phone call before some business is over?
Nats gave Harper another negotiating gift with other teams. Their great offer is a confirmation of its character – both on and off the ground. Nats knows him best, considerably better than any other team he could, and they want him.
Now we enter the baseball arcana. Nats did more than just stay in friendly terms. In my opinion, based on the free-market winter market, Nats now has an inherent advantage over any other team in signing Harper.
Since Nats did one year on Harper's qualifying offer last week, which, of course, dismissed, any team that will sign Harper as a free agent will be punished – quite seriously. Only Nats avoids such a sentence. How big is this "modest loss" for signing a free agent who has refused a qualifying bid? Fortunately for our reason, all teams that are likely to leave behind Harper are in the same "captivity". They would lose the second highest score in the 2019 draft and give up $ 500,000 in the international bonus money.
That's a lot of sharpening.
How much is this kind of punishment worth in the future lost over replacement (WAR) for those players you will never get in draft or signup? Each team's analytics service would have a different number. But my opinion is that some teams put the value of these lost players at $ 25 to $ 50 million.
Since 1996, Nats / Expos, the second biggest picks, to be lost in such a scenario, include the future All-Stars Milton Bradley and Brandon Phillips as well as Drew Storen, Sammy Solis, Andrew Stephenson, and Nats 2018 Co- Wil Crowe. Dane Dunning and Alex Meyer became useful commercial pieces.
With international money, Nats signed Victor Robles for $ 225,000 while Wilmer Difo, Reynaldo Lopez and Pedro Severino signed less than $ 200,000 in combination. Juan Soto, their second most expensive international ever, received $ 1.5 million.
When the final Harper contract is over, Team X will have to pay more than $ 250 million in wages, and also loses the precious proposal of the set and future international players, some of which are possible reasons. Nats would "just" have to separate the money. This is called having a rub.
Who says civilization and mutual respect can not be valuable news? Harper and Boras have just got their stake in the country. Nats have shown Rendon and future home players to play a free agency in any way. Like Ryan Zimmerman, I can apply two years earlier and be set to life with a $ 100 million prolongation. Like Jordan Zimmerman and Ian Desmon, they can shorten bids worth more than $ 100 million two years ago and take advantage of their chances of moving toward their career. Like Strasbourg, I can sign up six months earlier, on a team break, and have peace in what they would otherwise have been their year of walking. Or they can go to a free agent, like Harper, and still get an honorable offer before they go, which is why their value below them.
Here it is said that this is the way you work if you want long-term success with the smooth respect of long-term relationships within your industry.
Harper can play for Nats again. But apart from simply surpassing the universe, this is the way we maximize the chances that he will do it.